The real estate market in Los Altos Hills started to come back around in Q4 of 2010 with smaller homes, under 3000 sq. ft. selling close to their asking prices. That was the beginning of a trend in which prices are definitely coming back up from the slump we've experienced in the last 3 years.
Los Altos Hills saw a huge surge in sales and prices in March 2011 with several high-end homes selling which resulted in the median and average selling prices eclipsing anything in recent memory. As I said in that market update, Los Altos Hills was experiencing a short term bump, not the beginning of a long term trend. A handful of sales in the $4-10 million range both on and off market were just a short term anomoly. Or were they?
There have been several new Los Altos Hills homes for sale that have come on the market, only to sell relatively quickly. A good example was the nicely updated home on Ascension Drive that was priced at $2.68 million. That's an example of the homes that were selling well in Q4 2010 and the fact that it sold fast just recently is affirmation that the market is still strong in Q2 2011. A good indicator that the market is moving up is when new listings sell fast. Even if they don't sell over their asking prices, fewer days on market is a strong sign of demand.
With increased demand, both at the entry-level end of the market and the high-end, we're likely to see some price inflation. Taking out the high-end homes sold in March, the trend is to see an annualized increase of 4-5% for all homes sold in Los Altos Hills in 2011. This is well above the 2% increase Los Altos saw in 2010 and a definitive change from the .9% decline Los Altos Hills saw last year. While this is a prediction, it is supported by the strong performance in Q1 2011. Prices did rise and appear to be following a trend established 2 quarters ago.
One thing to note is that the source of bargains, overpriced homes that sat on the market for ages, is drying up. Many homes on the market during the downturn have sold. New homes coming on the market are being seen by qualified buyers who are making good decisions and making reasonable offers. For buyers looking in Los Altos Hills, I recommend making a purchase decisions based in immediate relative value. The days of 20-40% discounts are long gone.
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Bryan Robertson, Broker Associate | T: 650.799.9951 | Email: bryan@serenogroup.com | Website: http://www.BryanRobertsonHomes.com |CA License: 01191946 | Sereno Group - Los Altos branch | 369 S. San Antonio Road | Los Altos, CA 94022
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